Newspoll – Bad news for the Coalition

Yesterday, Larvatus Prodoe reported Newspoll figures suggesting that 63% of urban Coalition voters want the Federal Government’s ETS passed. This result means that the Liberals might lose some 20 metropolitan seats at the next election if they continue to delay and block the legislation.

It also suggests that the Greens could pick up a seat or two in the Senate. More first preferences for the House could also go to the Greens, but it is unlikely that they will pick up a House of Representatives seat in Queensland due to the dominance of the two major parties.  

If the Coalition does block the ETS, and renege on its agreement, it’s not just the 2010 election – double dissolution or not – that they are out of the race for. It might the subsequent one to two elections as well.

Switching from Turnbull to a climate change denialist is likely to spell disaster for the Coalition.

Update: The Queensland LNP is currently debating the ETS.